Bailout Nation: Was TARP Just a Ruse to Protect Citigroup?

Bailout Nation: Was TARP Just a Ruse to Protect Citigroup?

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/264931/Bailout-Nation-Was-TARP-Just-a-Ruse-to-Protect-Citigroup?tickers=MS,JPM,C,BAC,XLF,FAS,FAZ,

With JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and other big banks reportedly set to start repaying TARP funds as early as tomorrow, many are ready to turn the page on this sordid chapter in our nation's financial history.

But Barry Ritholtz, CEO of Fusion IQ and author of Bailout Nation, is still trying to figure out why we went through the whole exercise in the first place.

In his new book Bailout Nation, Ritholtz discusses the possibility that TARP was all a giant ruse, "a Hank Paulson engineered scam to cover up the simple fact that Citigroup was teetering on the brink of implosion," has he writes in his popular blog The Big Picture. "A loan just to Citi alone would have been problematic, went this line of brilliant reasoning, so instead, we gave money to all the big banks."

We delve further into this theory in the accompanying video. While it can never be fully proven, Ritholtz's "just a ruse to protect Citi" idea seems plausible given:

* The reaction of many other banks forced to take TARP funds;
* The extraordinary level of bailouts and debt guarantees aimed specifically at Citi;
* Regulators' fears last fall about the "systemic risk" if a big bank were allowed to fail.

Analysts Turning Bearish on S&P 500 After 14% Rally

Analysts Turning Bearish on S&P 500 After 14% Rally

May 11 (Bloomberg) -- The biggest earnings-season rally since 2002 has pushed 34 percent of the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index above analysts’ price targets for the next year, raising concerns about the pace of the recovery.
The S&P 500 is within 5 percent of the combined price projections of more than 1,700 securities analysts after gaining 14 percent since Alcoa Inc. reported first-quarter results on April 7. Caterpillar Inc., the largest maker of excavators, and Citigroup Inc., the bank rescued by $45 billion in U.S. taxpayer funds, are among 170 companies that trade above their average price estimates, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
So far, analysts have resisted lifting price and earnings targets after the S&P 500 surged 37 percent from a 12-year low in March. The combination of falling profit predictions, rising valuations and higher costs for options that insure against losses are raising investor concerns that the rally may have come too far, too fast.
“To expect this to continue to move onward and upward from here would be unrealistic,” said Leo Grohowski, chief investment officer at Bank of New York Mellon Wealth Management, which oversees $132 billion in New York. “It would be healthy for the market to take a breather and allow some of the fundamentals to catch up.” Read Article...
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aVxRKebyGa5o&refer=home