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Showing posts with label emerging markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label emerging markets. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

EXCLUSIVE: Global crisis spending lacks direction: poll

EXCLUSIVE: Global crisis spending lacks direction: poll

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Two-thirds of people believe "massive government spending" to combat the financial crisis shows a lack of clear direction, according to a poll of nations representing 75 percent of the global economy issued on Wednesday.
The Ipsos/Reuters survey also found that 60 percent of the people in the 23 countries polled say increased government regulation will stifle economic growth, an opinion particularly strong in the United States and emerging market giants India and China.

Clifford Young of Ipsos Global Public Affairs, the international market research and polling company that carried out the online poll, said the survey showed opinions were mixed with a majority still wanting more government action on the economic downturn despite their concerns.
"There's worry and some degree of uncertainty about government actions," Young said. "The general message is we want governments to do something, but not too much, and we don't want to go back to the dark ages."
The survey of 23,000 people, conducted from April 14 to May 7, showed 58 percent don't think the United States has done enough to reinvigorate the global economy, 53 percent believe the European Union needs to do more, and more than two-thirds think China has not done enough. Read more...
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSTRE55211E20090603
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Thursday, February 26, 2009

Will The Economic Crisis Split East And West In Europe?

Will The Economic Crisis Split East And West In Europe?
Nouriel Roubini, 02.26.09, 12:01 AM EST
The meltdown puts huge pressure on the E.U.'s free-market rules.

(Nouriel Roubini co-wrote this essay with Mary Stokes, Jelena Vukotic and Elisa Parisi-Capone, analysts at Roubini Global Economics.)

The Central and Eastern Europe region is the sick man of emerging markets. While the global crisis means few--if any--bright spots worldwide, the situation in the CEE area is particularly bleak. After almost a decade of outpacing worldwide growth, the region looks set to contract in 2009, with almost every country either in or on the verge of recession.
The once high-flying Baltics--Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania--look headed for double-digit contractions, while countries relatively less affected by the crisis--the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia--will have a hard time posting even positive growth. Meanwhile, Hungary and Latvia's economies have already deteriorated to the point where International Monetary Fund (IMF) help was needed late last year.
Central and Eastern Europe's ill health is primarily driven by two factors: collapsing exports and the drying up of capital inflows. Exports were key to the region's economic success, accounting for 80% to 90% of gross domestic product in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia. By far the biggest market for CEE goods is the Eurozone, now in recession.
Meanwhile, the global credit crunch has sapped capital inflows to the region. An easy flow of credit fueled Eastern Europe's boom in recent years, but the good times are gone. According to the Institute of International Finance, net private capital flows to emerging Europe are projected to fall from an estimated $254 billion in 2008 to $30 billion in 2009. Whether this is formally considered a "sudden stop" of capital or not, it will necessitate a very painful adjustment process. Read more...
http://www.forbes.com/2009/02/25/eastern-europe-eu-banks-euro-opinions-columnists_nouriel_roubini.html